The Atlanta Falcons (5-7) play the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on 4th December at 13:00. A tally of five wins from 12 games leaves the Atlanta Falcons with a divisional ranking of second in the NFC South, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are fourth in the AFC North after collecting three victories out of a possible ten. Now we’re over the halfway point of the regular season, every game counts more than ever. There is simply no more room for error. With this in mind, along with everything else that is at stake, we’re expecting the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers to put out all the stops for a much-needed victory.
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Betting lines
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Betting expert picks
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline
Take the Atlanta Falcons (-125) for the outright win on the moneyline. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Sunday at 56%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 5-7 hosts have won four of their last five matches at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, leaving their home record for the season at 4-2 SU. On the other side, the Pittsburgh Steelers are the clear underdogs at +105. The visitors are currently 1-4 SU on the road after losing four of their past five road trips.
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Spread
The Atlanta Falcons (-112) open up as the slight the 1.5-point favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers, according to oddsmakers. This suggests we could be in for a tight football game between two evenly-matched sides. In the last six matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 10.3 points.
The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games. In their previous ten games, the home side went 5-5 ATS overall and 5-2 ATS in the last seven games at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Pittsburgh Steelers’ recent road record against the Atlanta Falcons is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past two matchups at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with an average points margin of 5.0 points between them. The visitors are also 2-3-1 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Total
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last six games between the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers produced an average of 48 points.
Going for the Over (-110) in Sunday’s matchup at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium seems the way to go as the total has gone over in four of the past six matchups between the Atlanta Falcons and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The total has averaged 45.4 points in the Atlanta Falcons’ ten most recent games, as well as 48.8 points in their last five at home. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total went over in four of the last five home games for the Atlanta Falcons. They are 4-6 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.
As for the Pittsburgh Steelers, the average total has been 41.4 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 40.8 points in the last five on the road. Against the total, the Pittsburgh Steelers have gone over in two of the last five road matches and are 4-6 in the last ten overall.
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers Betting trends
- Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.
NFL Power Rankings Week 13 2022, Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta Falcons Form
The Atlanta Falcons are 5-7 for the season and their latest match against the Washington Commanders ended in a 19-13 defeat, leaving them 5-5 across their past 10 games and 4-1 in the last five at home.
The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 21.8 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 22.7 points average the Atlanta Falcons have achieved for this season. The art of defending isn’t something the Atlanta Falcons excel in though. By allowing 24.4 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.
Unsurprisingly, the Atlanta Falcons are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 5-7 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
Pittsburgh Steelers Form
Form is not looking good for Pittsburgh Steelers, who came up short in a 30-37 defeat against Cincinnati Bengals last week. Moreover, they have lost their last four road matches in a row. Their overall record for the last 10 games is 3-7.
The Pittsburgh Steelers’ offense has been abysmal all season. It has put up just 17.0 points per game and saw little improvement in the last five matches, which produced an average of 18.6 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 23.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 24.4 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
In 2021, the Pittsburgh Steelers came home in second place in the AFC North standings after going 9-8 across all games. The visitors naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoffs during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.
Atlanta Falcons VS Pittsburgh Steelers H2H history
The total reached 41.5 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in October 2018. The matchup ended in a 41-17 road victory for the Pittsburgh Steelers back then. In fact, the Atlanta Falcons have failed to win any of their past three matchups against the Pittsburgh Steelers, leaving them with an overall record of 0-5.
In their past six head-to-head games, the Atlanta Falcons pulled off 19.33 points on average per game, whereas Pittsburgh Steelers managed 28.67 points per match.