The Kansas City Chiefs will play the Cincinnati Bengals at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium for this Sunday’s AFC Championship Game.
In the divisional playoffs, the Chiefs made full use of their top-seed status to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 at home. The third-seeded Bengals joined them in the AFC title game by taking a 10-27 victory over the Buffalo Bills.
The two teams will now meet for the second time this season in what is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals betting expert picks
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline
Take the Kansas City Chiefs to win (1.83) outright on the Moneyline.
Playing the Kansas City Chiefs at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is no mean feat for any team at the moment. The hosts have won six straight on their own field lately, leaving them 8-1 at home and 15-3 for the season.
That said, the Bengals are no pushovers. They’re on a 10-0 run at the moment and have won their last three matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Backing the Kansas City Chiefs (-120) to win looks worth a punt. The hosts were strong at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last season with a 9-3 record. They’ve also won three of their last five home games against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals Spread
Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (1.95) is our favorite play for this matchup.
The Chiefs are favored by 1.5 points over the Bengals, according to Ohio sports betting sites. This suggests that the game will likely be close and could go either way. The last five contests between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals have posted an average winning margin of up to 13.0 points.
Home-field advantage usually has paid off for the Chiefs in this series. In their past five encounters with the Bengals at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the home side bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 19.3 points. The hosts are also 4-6 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The Cincinnati Bengals, on the other hand, have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games. In their past 10 matches, the Bengals went 8-2 ATS and ended up 8-2 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals Total
Take the Total over 47.5 (1.91) for the best over/under bet
The Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals’ offenses normally excel when they play each other. In the last ten games between these two teams, the average score has been 51.7 points per game.
Exactly seven of these past ten meetings had point totals that were higher than expected. Over was the winning bet four out of eight times at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The current total for Sunday’s matchup sits at 47.5 points.
The total has averaged 48.0 points in the Chiefs’ ten most recent games, as well as 42.4 points in their last five at home. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Chiefs, the total went over once. They are 4-6 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
On average, the Cincinnati Bengals have seen 46.8 points go on board during their past ten matches and 47.4 points in their last five contests on the road. Interestedly, the total has gone under in nine of the away side’s past 10 playoff games.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals Betting trends
- Cincinnati Bengals have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games away
Kansas City Chiefs Form
The Kansas City Chiefs enter the AFC Championship Game riding a six-game winning streak. They beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 in the divisional round. The victory left the hosts 9-1 for their last 10 matches and 5-0 at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium recently.
Playing at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium brings out the best in the Chiefs. They have the best home offensive record, averaging 25.3 points per game with home-field advantage and 29.1 points for all 18 of their games. On the other side of the ball, the defense has struggled to match last season’s eighth-place finish in the defensive rankings, giving up 21.6 points on average in all outings.
The Chiefs took the AFC’s top seed and the AFC West Division title. Following a first-round bye, the hosts began their postseason play with a convincing home win. They hope that victory will serve as a springboard into Super Bowl contention.
Cincinnati Bengals Form
In the divisional playoffs, the Cincinnati Bengals came out on top in a 10-27 contest with the Buffalo Bills. They now visit the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium with a 7-3 road record. Confidence should be high, especially as the visitors have won their last eight matchups against AFC opposition.
Going on the road doesn’t seem to hamper the Bengals. They have the eighth-best offensive record away from home, averaging 24.4 points on the road and 26.1 points in their 18 games.
On the other side, the defense is longer the same unit that gave up 21.8 points on average last year, ranking fifth in the league today after keeping opposing offenses down to just 19.4 points per match.
The Bengals ended up as the runner-up last season, heartbreakingly losing the 2022 Super Bowl. Despite their disappointment with being so close yet falling short of winning the Lombardi Trophy, they are on the brink of reaching the showpiece event once again.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Cincinnati Bengals H2H history
The Cincinnati Bengals bagged a 27-24 win over the Kansas City Chiefs in the previous matchup between these two franchises.
The encounter took place at the Paycor Stadium in December 2022. In the past five matchups, the Kansas City Chiefs claimed two wins against the Cincinnati Bengals to go 2-3 in this series.
In the last five matchups at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Kansas City Chiefs offense has put 154 points on board against the Cincinnati Bengals defense.
To put that into perspective, that’s an average of 30.8 points per game that the home offense has produced on its own turf in this series of late.