The New England Patriots (7-7) play the Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) at Gillette Stadium on 24th December in Week 16 of the NFL – Exactly three wins lie between the teams ahead of this Week 16 matchup.
The Bengals boast the better record out of the two, winning ten out of a possible 14 to go first in the AFC North. The Patriots follow up in third place in the AFC East, with seven wins to their account.
It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the New England Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Betting lines
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Betting expert picks
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline
Despite the home-field advantage, the New England Patriots aren’t favored on the moneyline. They are 3-3 SU at the Gillette Stadium in this regular season and 7-7 SU overall. Instead, the Cincinnati Bengals are favored on the moneyline.
A road win is priced at -175, which implies the visitors have a 64% chance of taking the victory and improving their 10-4 record.
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Spread
The Bengals open up as the 3.5-point favorites over the Patriots, according to the oddsmakers. This implies a tight battle is likely, with a road win possible but not by much. The last five contests between the New England Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals have posted an average winning margin of up to 17.2 points.
Home-field advantage usually has paid off for the New England Patriots in this series. In their past five encounters with the Cincinnati Bengals at the Gillette Stadium, the home side bagged four wins by an average winning margin of 16.3 points.
The hosts are also 4-4 ATS in the past eight games at home and 6-4 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The smart money is on the Cincinnati Bengals, who have covered the spread in their last six games. They may be on the road, but they still look too good to pass up here.
Betting on the Cincinnati Bengals against the spread has been a bit of a gold mine of late. They have covered the spread in four of their past 10 games on the road, and are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 overall.
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Total
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last ten games between the New England Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals produced an average of 45.4 points.
The average total from the last five meetings between the New England Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals was 48 points, more than 40.0—the number set by the oddsmakers for Saturday’s contest at the Gillette Stadium.
The total has gone under in four of New England Patriots’ last five games on their home turf. Interestedly, the total has gone under in seven of the New England Patriots’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC North.
As for the Cincinnati Bengals, the average total has been 49.6 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 52.2 points in the last five on the road. Meanwhile, the over-market paid out in three of the last five games on the road for the Cincinnati Bengals. All in all, they are 5-4-1 in their last ten games overall.
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals Betting trends
- The total went under in all of the New England Patriots’ last three games at the Gillette Stadium
- Cincinnati Bengals have covered the spread in their last six games.
- New England Patriots won the last three H2H games against Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Power Rankings Week 16 2022, New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals
New England Patriots Form
The New England Patriots are 7-7 for the season and their latest match against the Las Vegas Raiders ended in a 30-24 defeat, leaving them 6-4 across their past 10 games and 3-2 in the last five at home.
Unfortunately, the Patriots offense hasn’t performed to its usual standards of late. In the last five matches, the offensive unit has only put up 19.4 points on average, which is someway off this season’s tally of 21.4 points.
Visiting offenses normally struggle to break down the hosts’ defense, which has the eighth-best defensive record at home, having only allowed 16.7 points on their own turf and 19.2 points in all outings.
Having reached the wild card round of the playoffs last January, the New England Patriots were tipped for a repeat this year. However, unless the home side can overturn a 7-7 record before 2022 wraps up, a spot in the NFL postseason seems unlikely at this stage.
Cincinnati Bengals Form
The Cincinnati Bengals have grabbed an impressive eight wins from their nine most recent matchups. The away side’s most recent game ended in a 34-23 triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
A virtuoso offense is the first step to winning games on the road, which the Cincinnati Bengals have covered. In 14 rounds this season, the offensive unit has put up a solid 26.4 points on average.
On the other side, the defense is longer the same unit that gave up 21.8 points on average last year, ranking tenth in the league today after keeping opposing offenses down to just 20.6 points per match.
For the Bengals, lifting the famous Vince Lombardi Trophy is the ultimate target. A spot in the playoffs come to the end of the regular season should be the bare minimum expected of them.
After all, this is a team that finished first in the AFC North, won the AFC Championship, and came within a whisker of Super Bowl glory in the previous football season.
New England Patriots VS Cincinnati Bengals H2H history
The New England Patriots came away with a 13-34 win in their latest encounter with the Cincinnati Bengals, which took place at the Paul Brown Stadium. The past ten meetings in this series have mostly gone in the New England Patriots’ favor.
In total, they claimed seven wins for a record of 7-3.
In their past ten head-to-head games, the New England Patriots pulled off 28.6 points on average per game, whereas Cincinnati Bengals managed 16.8 points per match.