The Washington Commanders (7-7) play the Cleveland Browns (6-9) at FedEx Field on 1st January in Week 17 of the NFL. Having won seven of their 15 games, the Commanders are in fourth place in the NFC East and have collected one more win than the Browns, who are fourth in the AFC North ahead of this matchup.
The Cleveland Browns arrive at the FedEx Field as big outsiders to stop the Washington Commanders. The home side should be able to book this one as a win, considering how highly the oddsmakers favor them.
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Betting lines
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Betting expert picks
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Moneyline
The Commanders have had a lot of success against the Browns in recent years, winning five of the last eight matchups in this series.
On the other side, the Cleveland Browns are the clear underdogs at +110.
The visitors are currently 1-4 SU on the road after losing four of their past five road trips.
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Spread
The Washington Commanders open up as the slight 2-point favorites over the Cleveland Browns, according to the oddsmakers points spread. This suggests we could be in for a tight football game between two evenly-matched sides.
The eight most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of just 9.1 points.
Backing the Washington Commanders to cover the spread looks like a red flag here, even on home soil.
They’ve failed to cover the spread in their last three outings ahead of Sunday’s matchup. In their previous ten games, the Washington Commanders went 6-3-1 ATS overall and 4-3-1 ATS in the last eight games at home.
The past three visits to the FedEx Field have seen the Cleveland Browns end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 5.0 points.
In their past 10 matches, the Cleveland Browns went 5-5 ATS and also ended up 4-4 ATS from their eight most recent road trips.
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Total
Judging by a points average of 42.88 points from the last eight matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Washington Commanders and Cleveland Browns.
In these previous eight matchups, four produced point totals that were higher than expected. Over was the winning pick two times at the FedEx Field. 42.0 points is the current yardstick for Sunday’s matchup.
Picking under would’ve paid off on the betting line in all three of the Washington Commanders’ previous games at the FedEx Field. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Washington Commanders, the total went over once. They are 3-7 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
The total has gone under in five of the Cleveland Browns’s last six games, during which they have averaged 44.4 points per game this season. Moreover, seven of the last ten Cleveland Brown road games went under.
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns Betting trends
- Washington Commanders have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.
- Four of the Washington Commanders’ last five games went under at FedEx Field
- In five of the Cleveland Browns’ last six games, the total went under
- Washington Commanders won the last three H2H matches against Cleveland Browns when playing at home.
NFL Power Rankings Week 17 2022, Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns
Washington Commanders Form
The Washington Commanders slipped to 7-7 for the season last week after falling to a 37-20 defeat against the San Francisco 49ers. They are 6-3 across their ten most recent games and 2-3 in the past five at home.
The Commanders have struggled to get their offense rolling over the course of the regular season, scoring just 19.0 points on average.
The defense, meanwhile, has been just average. In its last five games, opponents have averaged 20.0 points points against them—right around the unit’s season average of 20.9 points points allowed per game.
The Commanders began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 7-7 from 15 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the home side is to at least maintain or improve on their seventh seed in the NFC Conference.
Cleveland Browns Form
The Cleveland Browns were left licking their wounds when the New Orleans Saints beat them 10-17 in their last match. They now have a 6-9 record for the season and are 1-4 in the last five on the road.
The Browns will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 21.5 points per game this season.
The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the visitors have only given up 14.8 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 22.9 points per game in comparison.
Unfortunately, the playoff dream is over for the Browns with a 6-9 record. They’ll use the rest of the regular season to regroup and rebuild, with one eye on a strong draft pick.
Washington Commanders VS Cleveland Browns H2H history
The total reached 42.0 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in September 2020. The matchup ended in a 34-20 road victory for the Cleveland Browns back then.
In the past five matchups, the Washington Commanders claimed three wins against the Cleveland Browns to go 3-2 in this series.
In their past eight head-to-head games, the Washington Commanders pulled off 21.25 points on average per game, whereas Cleveland Browns managed 21.63 points per match.